At a time of potential danger to American democratic norms and institutions, it is more urgent than ever for scholars to highlight the risks to our system of government. In this spirit, Bright Line Watch brings together a group of political scientists to monitor democratic practices, their resilience, and potential threats.
Featured report
The Persistence of Diminished Democracy in a Second Trump Presidency
Bright Line Watch fielded two recent surveys of political science faculty at American colleges and universities (whom we refer to as “experts”) and representative samples of Americans (whom we refer to as “the public”). The first survey, which was fielded in late December 2025 and early January 2026, overlapped with the January 3 military strike in Venezuela and the January 6 deployment of up to 2,000 additional Department of Homeland Security personnel to Operation Metro Surge in Minnesota. Both seemed potentially consequential for perceptions of U.S. democratic performance. We therefore chose to conduct a second survey in February–March 2026 and report the results of both surveys here rather than release potentially outdated results from the previous survey.
The first survey was fielded from December 22, 2025–January 7, 2026 among experts (564 responses) and from December 22, 2025–January 6, 2026 among the public (2750 responses). The second was fielded from February 19–March 10, 2026 among experts (621 responses) and from February 24–March 6, 2026 among the public (2750 responses).
March 2026
Bright Line Watch in the media
After Trump’s Victory, Republicans Trust the Election System Again
by Charles Homans at The New York Times, 12/17/2024
Why Do So Many Americans Believe Fake News?
by F.D. Flam at Bloomberg, 10/23/2024
‘Same playbook’: Voting falsehoods mire US election
by Daniel Funke at AFP, 10/23/2024
Opinion | America Is Playing With Fire
by Thomas B. Edsall at The New York Times, 10/23/2024
Republicans and Democrats Believe Their Candidate Will Win—By a Lot
by Stephanie Mencimer at Mother Jones, 10/17/2024

by Francis Wilkinson at Bloomberg, 10/17/2024

by Philip Bump at The Washington Post, 7/11/2024

by Philip Bump at The Washington Post, 7/01/2024
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