At a time of potential danger to American democratic norms and institutions, it is more urgent than ever for scholars to highlight the risks to our system of government. In this spirit, Bright Line Watch brings together a group of political scientists to monitor democratic practices, their resilience, and potential threats.
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The Persistence of Diminished Democracy in a Second Trump Presidency
Bright Line Watch fielded two recent surveys of political science faculty at American colleges and universities (whom we refer to as “experts”) and representative samples of Americans (whom we refer to as “the public”). The first survey, which was fielded in late December 2025 and early January 2026, overlapped with the January 3 military strike in Venezuela and the January 6 deployment of up to 2,000 additional Department of Homeland Security personnel to Operation Metro Surge in Minnesota. Both seemed potentially consequential for perceptions of U.S. democratic performance. We therefore chose to conduct a second survey in February–March 2026 and report the results of both surveys here rather than release potentially outdated results from the previous survey.
The first survey was fielded from December 22, 2025–January 7, 2026 among experts (564 responses) and from December 22, 2025–January 6, 2026 among the public (2750 responses). The second was fielded from February 19–March 10, 2026 among experts (621 responses) and from February 24–March 6, 2026 among the public (2750 responses).
March 2026
Bright Line Watch in the media
Reports say President Trump has damaged democracy at remarkable speed
by Frank Langfitt at NPR (All Things Considered), 3/19/2026

American democracy on the brink a year after Trump’s inauguration, experts say
by Lauren Gambino at The Guardian, 1/21/2026
Opinion | How history may judge Trump’s first year back in office
by Ryan Teague Beckwith at MS Now, 1/20/2026
Poll on U.S. political division points to irreconcilable differences by David Shribman at The Globe and Mail, 10/5/2025
Trump and Democrats clash in cycles of revenge after Comey indictment
by Howard Kurtz at Fox News, 09/30/2025

With Comey Indictment, Trump Sets Retribution Precedent That Could Haunt His Allies
by Peter Baker at The New York Times, 9/28/2025
Why Support for Political Violence Is Not as High as It May Seem
by Nate Cohn at The New York Times, 9/20/2025
Opinion | Trump Is Winning the Battle to Undermine Democracy by Thomas Edsall at The New York Times, 6/15/2025





